Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least X times in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2026-12-31 | 69.0% | $2.0K | $778K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T0 | ||
| 1 | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | $75 | $61K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T1 | ||
| 2 | 2026-12-31 | 6.4% | $54 | $25K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T2 | ||
| 3 | 2026-12-31 | 1.6% | $42 | $4.5K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T3 | ||
| 4 | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | — | $2.5K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T4 | ||
| 5 | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | — | $1.9K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T5 | ||
| 6 | 2026-12-31 | 1.2% | $1 | $2.1K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T6 | ||
| 7 | 2026-12-31 | 0.9% | — | $1.6K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T7 | ||
| 8 | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $1.7K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T8 | ||
| 9 | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $1.9K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…-T9 | ||
| 10 | 2026-12-31 | 0.6% | — | $1.1K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T10 | ||
| 11 | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | — | $594 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T11 | ||
| 12 | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $75 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T12 | ||
| 13 | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $79 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T13 | ||
| 14 | 2026-12-31 | 1.2% | — | $2.5K | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T14 | ||
| 15 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $105 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T15 | ||
| 16 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T16 | ||
| 17 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T17 | ||
| 18 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T18 | ||
| 19 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $2 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T19 | ||
| 20 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $3 | A | KXRATECUTCOU…T20 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Federal Reserve | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Federal Reserve" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxratecutcount-26dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxratecutcount-26dec31.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxratecutcount-26dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VMYLRHHXK0",
"slug": "kxratecutcount-26dec31",
"question": "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least X times in 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"federal-reserve",
"interest-rates",
"monetary-policy",
"2026-economic-outcomes",
"rate-cuts"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 883630,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Federal Reserve",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}