Will Spencer Pratt receive more votes than Nithya Raman in the Los Angeles mayoral primary? [ resolved 2026-06-27 ]
Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 6 to 100 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $120 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…A53 | ||
| 6% | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $107 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…RA5 | ||
| 5% | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $115 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…RA4 | ||
| 4% | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $162 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…RA3 | ||
| 3% | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $197 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…RA2 | ||
| 2% | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $208 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…RA1 | ||
| 1% | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $295 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…RA0 | ||
| -6% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $199 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…M53 | ||
| -5% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $160 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…AM5 | ||
| -4% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $585 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…AM4 | ||
| -3% | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $46 | $38K | C | KXRAMANPRATT…AM3 | ||
| -2% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | $9 | $435 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…AM2 | ||
| -1% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $291 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…AM1 | ||
| 0% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $265 | C | KXRAMANPRATT…AM0 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Secretary of State of <geography> | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Secretary of State of <geography>" ↗ - Secretary of State of <geography> venue-listed
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 0.0 to 1.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 1.0 to 2.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 2.0 to 3.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| YES | Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 3.0 to 4.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| NO | Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 4.0 to 5.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 5.0 to 6.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 6.0 to 100.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 0 to 1 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 1 to 2 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 3 to 4 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 2 to 3 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 4 to 5 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 5 to 6 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 6 to 100 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxramanprattdiff-26jun05/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxramanprattdiff-26jun05 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxramanprattdiff-26jun05") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-6LV7Y4TZ27",
"slug": "kxramanprattdiff-26jun05",
"question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive more votes than Nithya Raman in the Los Angeles mayoral primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"los-angeles-politics",
"2026-election",
"mayoral-primary",
"head-to-head-comparison",
"california-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 14,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 41191,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 50,
"rcg_caps": [
"discretionary_trigger_no_source",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Secretary of State of " ,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Secretary of State of " ,
"url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}