CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Spencer Pratt receive more votes than Nithya Raman in the Los Angeles mayoral primary? [ resolved 2026-06-27 ]

Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 6 to 100 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 14 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
100% 2026-06-09 0.0%
$120
C KXRAMANPRATT…A53
6% 2026-06-09 0.0%
$107
C KXRAMANPRATT…RA5
5% 2026-06-09 0.0%
$115
C KXRAMANPRATT…RA4
4% 2026-06-09 0.0%
$162
C KXRAMANPRATT…RA3
3% 2026-06-09 0.0%
$197
C KXRAMANPRATT…RA2
2% 2026-06-09 0.0%
$208
C KXRAMANPRATT…RA1
1% 2026-06-09 0.0%
$295
C KXRAMANPRATT…RA0
-6% 2026-06-27 0.0%
$199
C KXRAMANPRATT…M53
-5% 2026-06-27 0.0%
$160
C KXRAMANPRATT…AM5
-4% 2026-06-27 0.0%
$585
C KXRAMANPRATT…AM4
-3% 2026-06-27 100.0%
$46 $38K
C KXRAMANPRATT…AM3
-2% 2026-06-27 0.0%
$9 $435
C KXRAMANPRATT…AM2
-1% 2026-06-27 0.0%
$291
C KXRAMANPRATT…AM1
0% 2026-06-27 0.0%
$265
C KXRAMANPRATT…AM0
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Secretary of State of <geography> link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 14 markets · share this text
If Spencer Pratt's margin over Nithya Raman is between 6 and 100 percentage points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Margins are unrounded and inclusive of the lower bound and exclusive of the upper bound.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Secretary of State of <geography>"
sources (1)
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 0.0 to 1.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-27 0%
NO Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 1.0 to 2.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-27 0%
NO Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 2.0 to 3.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-27 0%
YES Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 3.0 to 4.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-27 100%
NO Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 4.0 to 5.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-27 0%
NO Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 5.0 to 6.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-27 0%
NO Will Nithya Raman beat Spencer Pratt by 6.0 to 100.0 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-27 0%
NO Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 0 to 1 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-09 0%
NO Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 1 to 2 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-09 0%
NO Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 3 to 4 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-09 0%
NO Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 2 to 3 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-09 0%
NO Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 4 to 5 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-09 0%
NO Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 5 to 6 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-09 0%
NO Will Spencer Pratt beat Nithya Raman by 6 to 100 points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? kalshi 2026-06-09 0%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (14 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxramanprattdiff-26jun05/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxramanprattdiff-26jun05
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxramanprattdiff-26jun05")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LV7Y4TZ27",
  "slug": "kxramanprattdiff-26jun05",
  "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive more votes than Nithya Raman in the Los Angeles mayoral primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "los-angeles-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "mayoral-primary",
    "head-to-head-comparison",
    "california-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 14,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 41191,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 50,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Secretary of State of ",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Secretary of State of ",
      "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →