CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Bill Pulte be sworn in as Acting DNI? [ resolved 2026-06-19 ]

kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
June 20, 2026-06-19 100.0%
$2.9K $3.1K
C KXPULTEDNI-2…620
July 1, 2026-06-19 100.0%
$6.4K $12K
C KXPULTEDNI-26JUL01
July 7, 2026-06-19 100.0%
$3.5K $7.5K
C KXPULTEDNI-2…-07
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff NYT link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 3 markets · share this text
If Bill Pulte formally holds the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before June 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, "the Bill Pulte formally holds the Acting Director of National Intelligence" means that the Bill Pulte has assumed the Acting Director of National Intelligence in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or an acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role, unless otherwise specified by the Exchange.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "NYT"
sources (1) · single authority
  • NYT source of record venue-listed
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will Bill Pulte formally hold the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before July 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-19 100%
YES Will Bill Pulte formally hold the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before July 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-19 100%
YES Will Bill Pulte formally hold the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before June 20, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-19 100%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxpultedni-26jul01/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxpultedni-26jul01
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxpultedni-26jul01")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WWYMBS6M78",
  "slug": "kxpultedni-26jul01",
  "question": "Will Bill Pulte be sworn in as Acting DNI?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "intelligence-community",
    "executive-appointment",
    "bill-pulte",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 22955,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 71,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_committed_secondhand"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "NYT",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.nytimes.com/section/todayspaper",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "NYT",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "NYT",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/section/todayspaper",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →