Will the candidate receiving the most votes win first place in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2027-08 ]
Will Ralph Norman finish 1st in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Darline Graham finishes in 1st place in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography" sources (1) · single authority
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Darline Graham finish 1st in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | kalshi | 2026-08-14 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Traders back Graham to lead SC Senate primary round one 99% · $766K 24h
- Kalshi prices Graham at 99% to finish first in the SC Republican Senate special primary first round.
- $766K in 24h represents 76% of all-time volume, near-conclusive positioning.
- Heavy flow at near-certainty odds suggests primary results are known or reporting live.
- Resolves on first-round vote totals from the South Carolina Republican special primary.
- Graham leads SC Republican first round at 61% 61% · $53K 24h
- Market places Graham as the 61% favorite to finish first in the SC Republican primary first round.
- $53K in 24h, 35% of all-time volume, reflects a meaningful surge in directional conviction.
- Fresh trading likely follows updated internal polling or rival candidate news shifting the field.
- Resolves YES if Graham finishes first in the first-round Republican primary count in South Carolina.
- Graham leads South Carolina GOP round one at 58% 58% · $29K 24h
- Kalshi prices Darline Graham as the first-round leader in the 2026 South Carolina Republican race at 58%, a modest-conviction lead.
- 24h volume of $29K is 31% of all-time handle, reflecting a meaningful single-day engagement for a down-ballot primary.
- Fresh volume ahead of a primary vote suggests local polling, endorsements, or candidate news is driving traders to take a position.
- Resolves on the certified first-round result of the 2026 South Carolina Republican contest.
- Darline Graham leads SC-Rep first round at 62% 62% · $31K 24h
- Kalshi prices Darline Graham finishing first in the South Carolina Republican primary's first round at 62%, a meaningful but not commanding lead.
- 24h volume of $31K is 46% of all-time handle, reflecting a sharp spike in primary-race attention.
- A 62% reading implies live uncertainty, a split field or late entrant could shift the calculus before election day.
- Contract resolves on the certified first-round result of the South Carolina Republican primary.
- Fresh volume returns to Darline Graham leading South Carolina's first round 63% · $21K 24h
- Kalshi prices Graham finishing first in the South Carolina Republican primary first round at 63%.
- 24h volume of $21K is 56% of all-time, the majority of lifetime liquidity just traded in one day.
- A surge of this proportion against lifetime volume typically signals a near-term catalyst, likely polling or a filing deadline.
- Resolves on certified first-round results from the 2026 South Carolina Republican primary.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxprimaryplace-scrsens26-1/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxprimaryplace-scrsens26-1 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxprimaryplace-scrsens26-1") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-34WPGXDWQ8",
"slug": "kxprimaryplace-scrsens26-1",
"question": "Will the candidate receiving the most votes win first place in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"south-carolina-politics",
"republican-primary",
"senate-election",
"2027",
"first-round-voting"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6283,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}