CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Steve Hilton win Riverside County? [ resolves 2027-06-02 (364D) ]

Will Steve Hilton win Placer County?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 10 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Steve Hilton win Orange County 2027-06-02 99.0%
$415 $656
A KXPRIMARYCOU…RAN
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County 2027-06-02 99.0%
$483 $501
A KXPRIMARYCOU…RES
Will Steve Hilton win El Dorado County 2027-06-02 99.0%
$1.5K $1.9K
A KXPRIMARYCOU…DOR
Will Steve Hilton win Kern County 2027-06-02 98.0%
$714 $1.2K
A KXPRIMARYCOU…ERN
Will Steve Hilton win Butte County 2027-06-02 98.0%
$472 $582
A KXPRIMARYCOU…UTT
Will Steve Hilton win Tulare County 2027-06-02 97.0%
$475 $781
A KXPRIMARYCOU…ULA
Will Steve Hilton win San Diego County 2027-06-02 95.0%
$1.7K $3.0K
A KXPRIMARYCOU…DIE
Will Steve Hilton win San Bernardino County 2027-06-02 95.0%
$104 $1.1K
A KXPRIMARYCOU…BER
Will Steve Hilton win Riverside County 2027-06-02 93.0%
$3.4K $4.8K
A KXPRIMARYCOU…IVE
Will Steve Hilton win Placer County 2027-06-02 81.0%
$546 $817
A KXPRIMARYCOU…LAC
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff state board of elections or canvassing board not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 10 markets · share this text
If Steve Hilton wins the the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Orange County, then the market resolves to Yes. "Win" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "state board of elections or canvassing board"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxprimarycounty-cagovprimary1st26jun021stshil/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxprimarycounty-cagovprimary1st26jun021stshil.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxprimarycounty-cagovprimary1st26jun021stshil")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
  "slug": "kxprimarycounty-cagovprimary1st26jun021stshil",
  "question": "Will Steve Hilton win Riverside County?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-elections",
    "county-level",
    "2027-election",
    "steve-hilton"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 10,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 15279,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →