Will the Republican nominee for Oklahoma's 1st congressional district win in the 2026 general election? [ resolved 2026-06-22 ]
Will Todd Woods be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Woods | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…WOO | ||
| Nathan Butterfield | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $7 | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…BUT | ||
| Jed Cochran | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…COC | ||
| Kim David | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $10 | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…DAV | ||
| Nancy Dyson | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…DYS | ||
| Courtney Gill | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…GIL | ||
| Dan Rooney | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…ROO | ||
| Paul Royse | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…ROY | ||
| Kelly Walsh | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…WAL | ||
| Mark Tedford | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | $26 | $1.2K | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…TED | ||
| Jackson Lahmeyer | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | $1.2K | $11K | A | KXOKPRIMARY-…LAH |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Todd Woods wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 OK-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
- Republican Party source of record venue-listed
- Democratic Party venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
| YES | Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| NO | Will Todd Woods be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nathan Butterfield be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jed Cochran be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Kim David be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nancy Dyson be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Courtney Gill be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Dan Rooney be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Paul Royse be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Kelly Walsh be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (11 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxokprimary-01r26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxokprimary-01r26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxokprimary-01r26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2J4CH6TD12",
"slug": "kxokprimary-01r26",
"question": "Will the Republican nominee for Oklahoma's 1st congressional district win in the 2026 general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"2027-election",
"oklahoma-politics",
"republican-primary",
"house-race",
"us-congress"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12732,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}