CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Mamdani tax billionaires by 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-08 (219D) ]

Will become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
kalshi 1 market
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027 2027-01-08 11.0%
$43 $6.4K
A KXNYCTAXBILL…N01
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff geography’s official government websites not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 1 market · share this text
If a law authorizing a new personal income tax bracket or surcharge on incomes over $1 billion for New York City residents has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods. For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods. For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes. For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness. Legislative passage without completed executive action, passage by only some required bodies, provisional passage, non-binding resolutions, and draft orders do not constitute enactment. Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "geography’s official government websites"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnyctaxbillions-27jan01/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnyctaxbillions-27jan01.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxnyctaxbillions-27jan01")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NR6YTLKDN0",
  "slug": "kxnyctaxbillions-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Mamdani tax billionaires by 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "mamdani-tax-policy",
    "billionaire-taxation",
    "us-politics",
    "2027",
    "wealth-tax"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6396,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "geography’s official government websites",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →