CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Mamdani freeze rent in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will NYC implement a rent freeze for leases starting October 2026?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
kalshi 1 market
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will NYC implement a rent freeze for leases starting October 2026 2027-01-01 71.2%
$746 $80K
A KXNYCRENTFREEZE-25
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Rent Guidelines Board not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 1 market · share this text
If the NYC Rent Guidelines Board has voted to set a 0% rent increase or any level of decrease for either one-year leases, two-year leases, or both, for rent-stabilized apartments with leases commencing between October 1 of 2026 and September 30 of the following year, then the market resolves to Yes. A rent freeze means the Board has voted for exactly 0% increase or any negative percentage (rent decrease) for either one-year leases, two-year leases, or both. The vote must be the final, official vote of the Board for the annual cycle, not a preliminary vote or proposed range. Indexation to inflation is considered a rent increase and would not qualify as a freeze. If the Board votes 0% for either one-year or two-year leases (or both), the market resolves to Yes. If the Board votes only positive percentages for both lease types, the market resolves to No. The Board typically meets and votes in June for leases beginning October 1. If the Board is unable to meet or vote due to lack of quorum, or if the rent stabilization system is abolished or suspended, the market resolves to No.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Rent Guidelines Board"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnycrentfreeze-25/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnycrentfreeze-25.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxnycrentfreeze-25")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-83HZ6WHMC4",
  "slug": "kxnycrentfreeze-25",
  "question": "Will Mamdani freeze rent in 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "rent-freeze",
    "housing-policy",
    "mamdani",
    "2026-action",
    "economics",
    "nyc-housing"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 80309,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Rent Guidelines Board",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →