CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-08 (169D) ]

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027 2027-01-08 7.1%
$27 $7.0K
A KXNYCCORPORA…N01
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff geography’s official government websites not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 1 market · share this text
If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not constitute a rate increase. Laws passed by New York State are encompassed within the Payout Criterion if they apply to or govern New York City.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "geography’s official government websites"
sources (24) · single authority
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3TH1NQMKC3",
  "slug": "kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "mamdani",
    "corporate-taxes",
    "tax-policy",
    "2027",
    "uganda-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6985,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "geography’s official government websites",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "The United States Congress",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "geography’s official government websites",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Source Agencies are",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Federal Register",
      "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The United States Congress",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "in hierarchical order: geography’s legislative bodies",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The White House",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://semafor.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "relevant governmental agency in geography",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "major newspapers in geography",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →