Will there be a Democratic nominee for New York's 17th congressional district by the 2026 election? [ resolved 2026-06-24 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cait Conley | 2026-06-24 | 100.0% | $136 | $10.0K | A | KXNY17D-26-CCON | ||
| Beth Davidson | 2026-06-24 | 0.0% | $130 | $3.7K | A | KXNY17D-26-BDAV | ||
| Effie Phillips-Staley | 2026-06-24 | 0.0% | $26 | $301 | A | KXNY17D-26-EPHI | ||
| Jessica Reinmann | 2026-06-24 | 0.0% | — | $0 | A | KXNY17D-26-JREI | ||
| Mike Sacks | 2026-06-24 | 0.0% | — | $1 | A | KXNY17D-26-MSAC | ||
| John Sullivan | 2026-06-24 | 0.0% | — | $0 | A | KXNY17D-26-JSUL | ||
| John Cappello | 2026-06-24 | 0.0% | — | $0 | A | KXNY17D-26-JCAP | ||
| Peter Chatzky | 2026-06-24 | 0.0% | — | $3 | A | KXNY17D-26-PCHA |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Cait Conley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-17 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
- Republican Party venue-listed
- Democratic Party source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 100% |
| NO | Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jessica Reinmann be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will Mike Sacks be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will John Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will John Cappello be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will Peter Chatzky be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxny17d-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxny17d-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxny17d-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-TXNHBNVZZ4",
"slug": "kxny17d-26",
"question": "Will there be a Democratic nominee for New York's 17th congressional district by the 2026 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"ny-17",
"democratic-primary",
"2026-election",
"us-politics",
"nominee-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14010,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}