US new home sales for June 2026 [ resolved 2026-07-24 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 520,000 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $9 | $704 | A | KXNHSALES-26…000 | ||
| > 540,000 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $12 | $847 | A | KXNHSALES-26…000 | ||
| > 560,000 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $96 | $846 | A | KXNHSALES-26…000 | ||
| > 580,000 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $51 | $794 | A | KXNHSALES-26…000 | ||
| > 600,000 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $300 | $1.5K | A | KXNHSALES-26…000 | ||
| > 620,000 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $36 | $765 | A | KXNHSALES-26…000 | ||
| > 640,000 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $74 | $446 | A | KXNHSALES-26…000 | ||
| > 660,000 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $23 | $180 | A | KXNHSALES-26…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for June 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 520,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation source of record venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 520,000? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 540,000? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 560,000? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 580,000? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 600,000? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 620,000? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| NO | Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 640,000? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 660,000? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnhsales-26jul24/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnhsales-26jul24 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnhsales-26jul24") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-S1WDYBGJ14",
"slug": "kxnhsales-26jul24",
"question": "US new home sales for June 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-housing",
"economic-data",
"june-2026",
"real-estate",
"construction-activity"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6096,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 96,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}