CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

How many people will Neuralink have implanted by the end of 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-08 (169D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026 2027-01-08 90.0%
$2.8K
C KXNEURALINKC…-25
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026 2027-01-08 75.0%
$1.1K
C KXNEURALINKC…-30
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026 2027-01-08 49.0%
$1.2K
C KXNEURALINKC…-40
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026 2027-01-08 43.0%
$485
C KXNEURALINKC…-50
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026 2027-01-08 12.0%
$167
C KXNEURALINKC…-75
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026 2027-01-08 14.0%
$145
C KXNEURALINKC…100
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Neuralink not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 6 markets · share this text
If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives. If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person. Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased. Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count. The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25. For the purposes of this contract, Neuralink brain-computer interface implants include the following: The N1 chip system and any successor devices developed by Neuralink Devices surgically implanted in the brain or nervous system designed to record neural activity and/or stimulate neural tissue Both fully functional and partially functional implanted devices Devices implanted for medical treatment, research, or enhancement purposes The following do NOT count as Neuralink implants: External devices, headsets, or non-implanted brain-computer interfaces Devices developed by other companies, even if similar in function Neuralink devices implanted in animals Theoretical, planned, or projected implant numbers without confirmation of actual procedures If Neuralink merges with a different company or changes its name, the Contract will continue to track the successor entity.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Neuralink"
sources (3) · single authority
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxneuralinkcount-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxneuralinkcount-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxneuralinkcount-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K2KVW60PK3",
  "slug": "kxneuralinkcount-26",
  "question": "How many people will Neuralink have implanted by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "neuralink",
    "neural-implants",
    "brain-computer-interface",
    "2026-implants",
    "medical-technology"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5880,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 56,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_committed_secondhand"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Neuralink",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://neuralink.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Neuralink",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Neuralink",
      "url": "https://neuralink.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Barrow Neurological Institute",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Elon Musk",
      "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →