CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Nasdaq-100 index closing price, December 31, 2026 [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 8 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≤ 22,000 2026-12-31 18.0%
$627
B KXNASDAQ100M….01
≤ 22,200 2026-12-31 16.0%
$199
B KXNASDAQ100M….01
≤ 22,400 2026-12-31 20.0%
$213
B KXNASDAQ100M….01
≤ 22,600 2026-12-31 18.0%
$56
B KXNASDAQ100M….01
≤ 22,800 2026-12-31 20.0%
$862
B KXNASDAQ100M….01
≤ 23,000 2026-12-31 96.3%
$16K
B KXNASDAQ100M….01
≤ 23,200 2026-12-31 99.9%
$9.4K
B KXNASDAQ100M….01
≤ 23,400 2026-12-31 99.9%
$9.1K
B KXNASDAQ100M….01
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff uncommitted link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 8 markets · share this text
If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 23400.01, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnasdaq100miny-26dec31h1600/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnasdaq100miny-26dec31h1600.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxnasdaq100miny-26dec31h1600")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HD4HXWSDD9",
  "slug": "kxnasdaq100miny-26dec31h1600",
  "question": "Nasdaq-100 index closing price, December 31, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nasdaq-100",
    "price-minimum",
    "2026",
    "equity-index",
    "market-level"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 8,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 36108,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_illustrative"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →