Will Elon Musk's net worth increase before 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 14 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 900 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $130K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…900 | ||
| > 1000 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $265K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…000 | ||
| > 1100 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $178K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…100 | ||
| > 1200 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $141K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…200 | ||
| > 1300 | 2027-01-01 | 96.0% | — | $170K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…300 | ||
| > 1500 | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | $98 | $1.7K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…500 | ||
| > 1400 | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | $644 | $34K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…400 | ||
| > 1600 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | $45 | $4.2K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…600 | ||
| > 1700 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | $25 | $223 | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…700 | ||
| > 1800 | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | $2 | $2.7K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…800 | ||
| > 1900 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $307 | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…900 | ||
| > 2000 | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | $48 | $3.1K | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…000 | ||
| > 2100 | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $397 | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…100 | ||
| > 2200 | 2027-01-01 | 4.0% | — | $529 | C | KXMUSKWEALTH…200 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Forbes | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $900 billion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Forbes" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- Forbes source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Musk have a net worth more than 1300 billion dollars before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 96% |
| YES | Will Musk have a net worth more than 1200 billion dollars before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 99% |
| YES | Will Musk have a net worth more than 1100 billion dollars before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 99% |
| YES | Will Musk have a net worth more than 1000 billion dollars before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 99% |
| YES | Will Musk have a net worth more than 900 billion dollars before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-12 | 99% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmuskwealth-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmuskwealth-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmuskwealth-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
"slug": "kxmuskwealth-27",
"question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth increase before 2027?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"elon-musk",
"net-worth",
"wealth-accumulation",
"2026",
"economics-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 14,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 931148,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Forbes",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Forbes",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Forbes",
"url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}