Will the Democratic Party nominee for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election be from Montana? [ resolves 2026-06-09 (6D) ]

Will Sam Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?

kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 4 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Ryan Busse be the Democratic nominee for MT-01	2026-06-09	97.0%	$8.0K	$37K	C	`KXMT01D-26-RBUS`
Will Sam Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01	2026-06-09	4.5%	$238	$912	C	`KXMT01D-26-SFOR`
Will Matt Rains be the Democratic nominee for MT-01	2026-06-09	3.4%	$7	$52	C	`KXMT01D-26-MRAI`
Will Russell Cleveland be the Democratic nominee for MT-01	2026-06-09	1.0%	$16	$80	C	`KXMT01D-26-RCLE`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Republican Party	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 4 markets · share this text

If Sam Forstag wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"

recent wire items

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmt01d-26/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmt01d-26.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxmt01d-26")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VDRPQ34M22",
  "slug": "kxmt01d-26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic Party nominee for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election be from Montana?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "montana",
    "house-race",
    "democratic-primary"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 37957,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 23,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "adversarial_ground_truth"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →