How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 6.2% | 2027-01-01 | 96.0% | — | $10K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…6.2 | ||
| ≥ 6.3% | 2027-01-01 | 92.5% | — | $8.9K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…6.3 | ||
| ≥ 6.4% | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $7.2K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…6.4 | ||
| ≥ 6.5% | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $28K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…6.5 | ||
| ≥ 6.6% | 2027-01-01 | 79.0% | $25 | $6.2K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…6.6 | ||
| ≥ 6.7% | 2027-01-01 | 57.0% | $22 | $2.2K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…6.7 | ||
| ≥ 6.8% | 2027-01-01 | 49.0% | $10 | $1.5K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…6.8 | ||
| ≥ 6.9% | 2027-01-01 | 45.0% | $460 | $1.5K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…6.9 | ||
| ≥ 7% | 2027-01-01 | 31.0% | $104 | $2.0K | A | KXMORTGAGERA…7.0 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmortgagerate-26dec/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmortgagerate-26dec.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmortgagerate-26dec") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VWL3JC3XP3",
"slug": "kxmortgagerate-26dec",
"question": "How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"mortgage-rates",
"us-economy",
"interest-rates",
"housing-market",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 67821,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 96,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}