CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

MercadoLibre items sold, Q2 2026 [ resolves 2026-09-02 (91D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 6 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 740,000,000 2026-09-02 93.0%
$4.7K
B KXMELI-26AUG…000
≥ 760,000,000 2026-09-02 89.0%
$50
B KXMELI-26AUG…000
≥ 780,000,000 2026-09-02 76.0%
$112
B KXMELI-26AUG…000
≥ 800,000,000 2026-09-02 50.0%
$821
B KXMELI-26AUG…000
≥ 820,000,000 2026-09-02 37.0%
$1.5K
B KXMELI-26AUG…000
≥ 840,000,000 2026-09-02 13.0%
$1.2K
B KXMELI-26AUG…000
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Fiscal.ai not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 6 markets · share this text
If MercadoLibre Inc. reports above 740000000 items sold in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmeli-26augitems/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmeli-26augitems.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxmeli-26augitems")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJJ8S8TTC3",
  "slug": "kxmeli-26augitems",
  "question": "MercadoLibre items sold, Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "mercadolibre",
    "e-commerce",
    "quarterly-earnings",
    "q2-2026",
    "transaction-volume"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 8425,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 76,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →