CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will there be a Los Angeles Mayor winner? [ resolves 2027-06-02 (364D) ]

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 10 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Karen Bass · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 79.0%
$1.17M $4.46M
A KXMAYORLA-26-KBAS
Spencer Pratt · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 15.0%
$860K $5.21M
A KXMAYORLA-26-SPRA
Nithya Raman · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 5.2%
$105K $302K
A KXMAYORLA-26-NRAM
Rick Caruso · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 0.1%
$12 $261
A KXMAYORLA-26-RCAR
Asaad Alnajjar · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 0.1%
$8 $50
A KXMAYORLA-26-AALN
Vincent Wali · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 0.1%
$0 $14
A KXMAYORLA-26-VWAL
Gina Viola · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 0.1%
$1 $39
A KXMAYORLA-26-GVIO
Rae Huang · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 0.1%
$4 $256
A KXMAYORLA-26-RHUA
Austin Beutner · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 0.1%
$0 $19
A KXMAYORLA-26-ABEU
Adam Miller · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? 2027-06-02 0.1%
$9 $598
A KXMAYORLA-26-AMIL
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff relevant county clerk or board of elections not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 10 markets · share this text
If Karen Bass wins the Los Angeles Mayoral Election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmayorla-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmayorla-26.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxmayorla-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X27NWLJN20",
  "slug": "kxmayorla-26",
  "question": "Will there be a Los Angeles Mayor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "los-angeles-mayor",
    "us-election-2027",
    "mayoral-race",
    "california-politics",
    "political-leadership"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 10,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 9963657,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →