Will any specific person visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 76.0% | $2 | $3.4K | B | KXMARALAGO-27-RDES | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 29.0% | $2 | $278 | B | KXMARALAGO-27-JBEZ | ||
| Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 29.0% | — | $177 | B | KXMARALAGO-27-JHUA | ||
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 26.0% | — | $109 | B | KXMARALAGO-27-VZEL | ||
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 25.0% | $1 | $549 | B | KXMARALAGO-27-MZUC | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 19.0% | — | $1.8K | B | KXMARALAGO-27-BNET | ||
| Will Xi Jinping be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 16.0% | $76 | $536 | B | KXMARALAGO-27-XJIN | ||
| Will Vladimir Putin be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | — | $266 | B | KXMARALAGO-27-VPUT | ||
| Will James Fishback be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $2.4K | B | KXMARALAGO-27-JFIS | ||
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $152 | B | KXMARALAGO-27-MTG | ||
| Will Giorgia Meloni be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 2.4% | — | $62 | B | KXMARALAGO-27-GMEL |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The New York Times | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Jeff Bezos has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also includes reporting on other sources, e.g. if The New York Times report that Bloomberg reported a given person visited, or that Donald Trump said someone has visited, that would also be encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The New York Times" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmaralago-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmaralago-27.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmaralago-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VT2GDV0HF3",
"slug": "kxmaralago-27",
"question": "Will any specific person visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"mar-a-lago",
"political-visits",
"trump-property",
"2027",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 9620,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 57,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "The New York Times",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}