CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Dan Patrick win re-election as Texas Lieutenant Governor in 2026? [ resolves 2026-11-10 (160D) ]

Will the Republican party win the Lieutenant Governor race in Texas?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will the Republican party win the Lieutenant Governor race in Texas 2026-11-10 97.9%
$8.1K
A KXLTGOVTX-26-GOP
Will the Democratic party win the Lieutenant Governor race in Texas 2026-11-10 11.0%
$237
A KXLTGOVTX-26-DEM
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff State governments link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as the Lieutenant Governor of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "State governments"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxltgovtx-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxltgovtx-26.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxltgovtx-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CJ192CT1C7",
  "slug": "kxltgovtx-26",
  "question": "Will Dan Patrick win re-election as Texas Lieutenant Governor in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "texas-politics",
    "lieutenant-governor",
    "2027-election",
    "us-statewide-race",
    "electoral-outcome"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 8378,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "State governments",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.myfloridahouse.gov/Sections/Bills/billsdetail.aspx?BillId=79719",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →