Will Cory Mills leave the House before the midterms? [ resolves 2026-11-10 (160D) ]

Will Cory Mills leave the House before the midterms?

kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

kalshi 3 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Cory Mills leave the House before the midterms	2026-11-10	50.0%	—	$7.9K	C	`KXLEAVEMILLS…V03`
Will Cory Mills be out as Congressman before May 1, 2026	2026-11-10	3.0%	—	$387	C	`KXLEAVEMILLS…MAY`
Will Cory Mills be out as Congressman before June 1, 2026	2026-11-10	1.0%	—	$106	C	`KXLEAVEMILLS…JUN`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	uncommitted	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 3 markets · share this text

If Cory Mills leaves the House before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Cory Mills must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No." For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above

recent wire items

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxleavemills-26nov03/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxleavemills-26nov03.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxleavemills-26nov03")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YD02QTFFS0",
  "slug": "kxleavemills-26nov03",
  "question": "Will Cory Mills leave the House before the midterms?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-congress",
    "house-turnover",
    "cory-mills",
    "2026",
    "political-careers"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 8373,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 67,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →