Will there be a first round winner in the Los Angeles mayoral election? [ resolved 2026-06-27 ]
Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Pratt · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $20K | A | KXLAMAYOR1R-…PRA | ||
| Rae Huang · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $22 | A | KXLAMAYOR1R-…HUN | ||
| Adam Miller · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $91 | A | KXLAMAYOR1R-…MIL | ||
| Karen Bass · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $1.4K | $852K | A | KXLAMAYOR1R-…BAS | ||
| Nithya Raman · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | $4 | $8.5K | A | KXLAMAYOR1R-…RAM |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Nithya Raman wins the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" sources (7) · stated precedence rule
- relevant county clerk or board of elections source of record venue-listed
- Attorney General of the United States venue-listed
- relevant city/municipal clerk venue-listed
- in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer venue-listed
- the Federal Election Commission venue-listed
- state board of elections or canvassing board venue-listed
- The Source Agencies are venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| YES | Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| NO | Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxlamayor1r-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxlamayor1r-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxlamayor1r-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-59SSCZ3Q31",
"slug": "kxlamayor1r-26",
"question": "Will there be a first round winner in the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"los-angeles-politics",
"mayoral-election",
"2027-election",
"us-local-government",
"ranked-choice-voting"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 880047,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Attorney General of the United States",
"url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Federal Election Commission",
"url": "https://www.fec.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Source Agencies are",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}