Will there be a first round winner in the Los Angeles mayoral election? [ resolves 2027-06-02 (364D) ]
Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karen Bass · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2027-06-02 | 98.0% | $151K | $372K | B | KXLAMAYOR1R-…BAS | ||
| Spencer Pratt · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2027-06-02 | 3.0% | $19K | $44K | B | KXLAMAYOR1R-…PRA | ||
| Rae Huang · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2027-06-02 | 2.0% | — | $31 | B | KXLAMAYOR1R-…HUN | ||
| Nithya Raman · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2027-06-02 | 1.0% | $1.8K | $5.1K | B | KXLAMAYOR1R-…RAM | ||
| Adam Miller · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2027-06-02 | 1.0% | $2 | $79 | B | KXLAMAYOR1R-…MIL |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxlamayor1r-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxlamayor1r-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxlamayor1r-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-59SSCZ3Q31",
"slug": "kxlamayor1r-26",
"question": "Will there be a first round winner in the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"los-angeles-politics",
"mayoral-election",
"2027-election",
"us-local-government",
"ranked-choice-voting"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 421359,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 71,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}