Will initial jobless claims for the week ending August 1, 2026 be reported by August 13, 2026? [ resolved 2026-08-06 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 100.0% | — | $45 | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 | ||
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 100.0% | — | $5 | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 | ||
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 100.0% | — | $106 | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 | ||
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 100.0% | $585 | $1.1K | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 | ||
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 100.0% | $1.4K | $1.6K | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 | ||
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | $1.2K | $2.3K | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 | ||
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | $850 | $1.1K | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 | ||
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | $240 | $1.4K | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 | ||
| How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | $60 | $75 | A | KXJOBLESSCLA…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Department of Labor | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If there are at least 175,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Department of Labor" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
Department of Labor committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 100% |
| YES | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 100% |
| YES | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 100% |
| YES | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 100% |
| YES | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 100% |
| NO | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 0% |
| NO | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 0% |
| NO | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 0% |
| NO | How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-06 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (9 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxjoblessclaims-26aug06/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxjoblessclaims-26aug06 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxjoblessclaims-26aug06") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2W5NTSD678",
"slug": "kxjoblessclaims-26aug06",
"question": "Will initial jobless claims for the week ending August 1, 2026 be reported by August 13, 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-labor-market",
"weekly-economic-data",
"jobless-claims",
"2026",
"economic-indicators"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7683,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Department of Labor",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Department of Labor",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Department of Labor",
"url": "https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}