CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2027-01 ]

Who will IPO before 2027?

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 31 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Shein · Who will IPO before 2027? 2026-08-24 100.0%
$27K
C KXIPO-26-SHEIN
Jersey Mike's · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 99.0%
$20K
C KXIPO-26-JERS
SpaceX · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 99.0%
$312K
C KXIPO-26-SPACEX
Cerebras · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 99.0%
$55K
C KXIPO-26-CEREBRAS
Anthropic · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 75.0%
$294 $195K
C KXIPO-26-ANTHROPIC
Oura · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 75.0%
$71 $2.5K
C KXIPO-26-OURA
Discord · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 38.0%
$74 $43K
C KXIPO-26-DISCORD
OpenAI · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 24.0%
$329 $88K
C KXIPO-26-OPENAI
DeepSeek · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 15.0%
$369
C KXIPO-26-DEEP
Kraken · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 14.0%
$18K
C KXIPO-26-KRAKEN
Gopuff · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 11.0%
$129
C KXIPO-26-GOPU
Applied Intuition · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 9.0%
$2.2K
C KXIPO-26-AIN…ION
Plaid · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 8.0%
$3.6K
C KXIPO-26-PLAID
Celonis · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$16 $1.1K
C KXIPO-26-CELONIS
Deel · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$2.5K
C KXIPO-26-DEEL
Mistral AI · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$421
C KXIPO-26-MISTRAL
Ramp · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$1 $2.1K
C KXIPO-26-RAMP
Rippling · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$990
C KXIPO-26-RIPPLING
Glean · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$522
C KXIPO-26-GLEAN
Beast Industries · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$903
C KXIPO-26-BEAS
Vanta · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$3 $623
C KXIPO-26-VANTA
Ripple Labs · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$3 $1.8K
C KXIPO-26-RIPPLE
Skims · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$453
C KXIPO-26-SKIMS
Stripe · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$4.4K
C KXIPO-26-STRIPE
Databricks · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 5.0%
$3 $11K
C KXIPO-26-DAT…CKS
Anduril · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 4.0%
$0 $9.9K
C KXIPO-26-ANDURIL
Brex · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 3.0%
$667
C KXIPO-26-BREX
Anysphere (Cursor) · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 3.0%
$761
C KXIPO-26-ANYSPHERE
Airwallex · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 3.0%
$389
C KXIPO-26-AIRWALLEX
xAI · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 1.0%
$409
C KXIPO-26-XAI
Bloomberg · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 0.0%
C KXIPO-26-BMBG
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff the New York Times not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 31 markets · share this text
If Jersey Mike's confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "the New York Times"
sources (9)
the New York Times venue-listed ABC venue-listed Bloomberg venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Financial Times venue-listed CNBC venue-listed Reuters venue-listed BBC venue-listed the SEC from rules text
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Who will IPO in 2026? kalshi by 2027-01-01 99%
YES Who will IPO before 2027? kalshi 2026-08-24 100%
YES Who will IPO before 2027? kalshi 2026-06-15 99%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
  • 2026-09-16T13:04:24+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Discord IPO pricing builds a premium on the smaller desk Polymarket 10% vs Kalshi 19%
    • Kalshi prices Discord IPO at 19%, Polymarket at 10%, a 9pp gap
    • Kalshi is the higher venue; Polymarket holds roughly 20x Kalshi's cumulative volume
    • Liquidity asymmetry suggests Kalshi's elevated price reflects limited price discovery rather than a distinct information signal
    • Resolves YES only on a completed Discord IPO before Jan 1, 2027
  • 2026-09-16T13:04:24+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Anduril IPO trades far apart, with venues on opposite sides of ten percent Polymarket 10% vs Kalshi 4%
    • Kalshi prices Anduril IPO at 4%, Polymarket at 10%, a 6pp gap with Polymarket as the higher venue
    • Polymarket carries roughly 35x Kalshi's cumulative volume, making it the dominant price-discovery venue
    • Kalshi's lower print may reflect a stricter resolution standard or delayed information incorporation in a thin market
    • Resolves YES only on a completed Anduril IPO before Jan 1, 2027
  • 2026-09-15T13:07:18+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Discord IPO odds carry a premium on Kalshi heading into 2027 Polymarket 11% vs Kalshi 17%
    • Kalshi prices a Discord IPO before 2027 at 17%, Polymarket at 11%, a 6pp spread with resolution in under four months.
    • Kalshi is higher; Polymarket holds roughly 22x the cumulative volume, indicating a substantially deeper market.
    • With the horizon this close and no public IPO filing, Polymarket's larger crowd likely reflects tighter consensus; Kalshi's higher print may stem from limited participation rather than an informed edge.
    • Resolves YES only on a confirmed Discord IPO, S-1 filing or trading debut, before Jan 1, 2027.
  • 2026-09-14T14:42:13+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Discord IPO odds carry a premium on the low-volume desk Polymarket 14% vs Kalshi 22%
    • Kalshi prices Discord IPO at 22%, Polymarket at 14%, an 8pp gap
    • Kalshi is higher; Polymarket holds roughly 17x more cumulative volume
    • Kalshi's thinner book may be slower to price in the absence of concrete IPO signals; Polymarket's depth suggests the market broadly doubts a 2026 listing
    • Resolves YES on a confirmed Discord IPO or market debut before Jan 1, 2027
  • 2026-09-13T13:05:28+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Discord IPO odds carry a premium on the smaller venue Polymarket 14% vs Kalshi 21%
    • Kalshi prices Discord IPO before 2027 at 21%, Polymarket at 14%, a 7pp gap
    • Kalshi is higher on roughly $27K volume; Polymarket holds the dominant book near $478K
    • With resolution just months away, Polymarket's more liquid market is likely better calibrated to near-term IPO pipeline reality
    • Resolves YES if Discord completes an IPO before Jan 1, 2027
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxipo-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxipo-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxipo-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-858NYLKF97",
  "slug": "kxipo-26",
  "question": "Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "ipo-announcements",
    "corporate-finance",
    "equity-markets",
    "2026",
    "public-companies"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 31,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 805593,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "the New York Times",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "the New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Financial Times",
      "url": "https://www.ft.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNBC",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "BBC",
      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the SEC",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →