Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2027-01 ]
Who will IPO before 2027?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 31 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shein · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2026-08-24 | 100.0% | — | $27K | C | KXIPO-26-SHEIN | ||
| Jersey Mike's · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $20K | C | KXIPO-26-JERS | ||
| SpaceX · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $312K | C | KXIPO-26-SPACEX | ||
| Cerebras · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $55K | C | KXIPO-26-CEREBRAS | ||
| Anthropic · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 75.0% | $294 | $195K | C | KXIPO-26-ANTHROPIC | ||
| Oura · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 75.0% | $71 | $2.5K | C | KXIPO-26-OURA | ||
| Discord · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 38.0% | $74 | $43K | C | KXIPO-26-DISCORD | ||
| OpenAI · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 24.0% | $329 | $88K | C | KXIPO-26-OPENAI | ||
| DeepSeek · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | — | $369 | C | KXIPO-26-DEEP | ||
| Kraken · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $18K | C | KXIPO-26-KRAKEN | ||
| Gopuff · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $129 | C | KXIPO-26-GOPU | ||
| Applied Intuition · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | — | $2.2K | C | KXIPO-26-AIN…ION | ||
| Plaid · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $3.6K | C | KXIPO-26-PLAID | ||
| Celonis · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $16 | $1.1K | C | KXIPO-26-CELONIS | ||
| Deel · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $2.5K | C | KXIPO-26-DEEL | ||
| Mistral AI · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $421 | C | KXIPO-26-MISTRAL | ||
| Ramp · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $1 | $2.1K | C | KXIPO-26-RAMP | ||
| Rippling · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $990 | C | KXIPO-26-RIPPLING | ||
| Glean · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $522 | C | KXIPO-26-GLEAN | ||
| Beast Industries · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $903 | C | KXIPO-26-BEAS | ||
| Vanta · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | $3 | $623 | C | KXIPO-26-VANTA | ||
| Ripple Labs · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | $3 | $1.8K | C | KXIPO-26-RIPPLE | ||
| Skims · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $453 | C | KXIPO-26-SKIMS | ||
| Stripe · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $4.4K | C | KXIPO-26-STRIPE | ||
| Databricks · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 5.0% | $3 | $11K | C | KXIPO-26-DAT…CKS | ||
| Anduril · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 4.0% | $0 | $9.9K | C | KXIPO-26-ANDURIL | ||
| Brex · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $667 | C | KXIPO-26-BREX | ||
| Anysphere (Cursor) · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $761 | C | KXIPO-26-ANYSPHERE | ||
| Airwallex · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $389 | C | KXIPO-26-AIRWALLEX | ||
| xAI · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $409 | C | KXIPO-26-XAI | ||
| Bloomberg · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXIPO-26-BMBG |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the New York Times | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Jersey Mike's confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the New York Times" sources (9)
the New York Times venue-listed ABC venue-listed Bloomberg venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Financial Times venue-listed CNBC venue-listed Reuters venue-listed BBC venue-listed the SEC from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Who will IPO in 2026? | kalshi | by 2027-01-01 | 99% |
| YES | Who will IPO before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-08-24 | 100% |
| YES | Who will IPO before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 99% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Discord IPO pricing builds a premium on the smaller desk Polymarket 10% vs Kalshi 19%
- Kalshi prices Discord IPO at 19%, Polymarket at 10%, a 9pp gap
- Kalshi is the higher venue; Polymarket holds roughly 20x Kalshi's cumulative volume
- Liquidity asymmetry suggests Kalshi's elevated price reflects limited price discovery rather than a distinct information signal
- Resolves YES only on a completed Discord IPO before Jan 1, 2027
- Anduril IPO trades far apart, with venues on opposite sides of ten percent Polymarket 10% vs Kalshi 4%
- Kalshi prices Anduril IPO at 4%, Polymarket at 10%, a 6pp gap with Polymarket as the higher venue
- Polymarket carries roughly 35x Kalshi's cumulative volume, making it the dominant price-discovery venue
- Kalshi's lower print may reflect a stricter resolution standard or delayed information incorporation in a thin market
- Resolves YES only on a completed Anduril IPO before Jan 1, 2027
- Discord IPO odds carry a premium on Kalshi heading into 2027 Polymarket 11% vs Kalshi 17%
- Kalshi prices a Discord IPO before 2027 at 17%, Polymarket at 11%, a 6pp spread with resolution in under four months.
- Kalshi is higher; Polymarket holds roughly 22x the cumulative volume, indicating a substantially deeper market.
- With the horizon this close and no public IPO filing, Polymarket's larger crowd likely reflects tighter consensus; Kalshi's higher print may stem from limited participation rather than an informed edge.
- Resolves YES only on a confirmed Discord IPO, S-1 filing or trading debut, before Jan 1, 2027.
- Discord IPO odds carry a premium on the low-volume desk Polymarket 14% vs Kalshi 22%
- Kalshi prices Discord IPO at 22%, Polymarket at 14%, an 8pp gap
- Kalshi is higher; Polymarket holds roughly 17x more cumulative volume
- Kalshi's thinner book may be slower to price in the absence of concrete IPO signals; Polymarket's depth suggests the market broadly doubts a 2026 listing
- Resolves YES on a confirmed Discord IPO or market debut before Jan 1, 2027
- Discord IPO odds carry a premium on the smaller venue Polymarket 14% vs Kalshi 21%
- Kalshi prices Discord IPO before 2027 at 21%, Polymarket at 14%, a 7pp gap
- Kalshi is higher on roughly $27K volume; Polymarket holds the dominant book near $478K
- With resolution just months away, Polymarket's more liquid market is likely better calibrated to near-term IPO pipeline reality
- Resolves YES if Discord completes an IPO before Jan 1, 2027
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxipo-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxipo-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxipo-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-858NYLKF97",
"slug": "kxipo-26",
"question": "Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"ipo-announcements",
"corporate-finance",
"equity-markets",
"2026",
"public-companies"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 31,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 805593,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "the New York Times",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://www.ft.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "BBC",
"url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the SEC",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}