CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Jun 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT? [ resolves 2026-06-03 (0D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 60 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 6,825 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 6,850 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 6,875 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 6,900 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 6,925 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 6,950 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 6,975 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,000 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,025 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,050 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,075 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,100 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,125 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,150 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,175 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,200 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,225 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,250 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,275 2026-06-03 99.0%
$10 $10
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,300 2026-06-03 99.0%
$10 $10
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,325 2026-06-03 99.0%
$10 $10
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,350 2026-06-03 99.0%
$10 $10
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,375 2026-06-03 99.0%
$10 $10
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,400 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,425 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,450 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,475 2026-06-03 94.0%
$407 $407
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,500 2026-06-03 99.0%
$1.5K $1.5K
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,525 2026-06-03 99.0%
$1.6K $1.6K
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,550 2026-06-03 97.0%
$3.7K $4.7K
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,575 2026-06-03 88.0%
$3.6K $3.7K
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,600 2026-06-03 69.0%
$7.9K $7.9K
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,625 2026-06-03 45.0%
$1.6K $1.7K
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,650 2026-06-03 18.0%
$360 $360
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,675 2026-06-03 4.0%
$103 $103
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,700 2026-06-03 2.0%
$144 $144
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,725 2026-06-03 1.0%
$8 $8
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,750 2026-06-03 1.0%
$0 $0
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,775 2026-06-03 1.0%
$0 $0
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,800 2026-06-03 1.0%
$0 $0
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,825 2026-06-03 1.0%
$0 $0
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,850 2026-06-03 1.0%
$0 $0
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,875 2026-06-03 1.0%
$0 $0
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,900 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,925 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,950 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 7,975 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,000 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,025 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,050 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,075 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,100 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,125 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,150 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,175 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,200 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,225 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,250 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,275 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
≥ 8,300 2026-06-03 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUN…999
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff uncommitted link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 60 markets · share this text
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on June 03, 2026 is above 6824.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on June 03, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after June 03, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxinxu-26jun03h1600/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxinxu-26jun03h1600.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxinxu-26jun03h1600")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1P2LH72L26",
  "slug": "kxinxu-26jun03h1600",
  "question": "Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Jun 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "sp500",
    "price-point",
    "2026",
    "financial-index",
    "market-close"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 60,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 22066,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_illustrative"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →