S&P 500 minimum value, January 1, 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 5,900 | 2027-01-01 | 19.4% | $52 | $51K | B | KXINXMINY-01….01 | ||
| ≤ 6,000 | 2027-01-01 | 20.3% | $11 | $23K | B | KXINXMINY-01….01 | ||
| ≤ 6,100 | 2027-01-01 | 25.0% | $46 | $17K | B | KXINXMINY-01….01 | ||
| ≤ 6,200 | 2027-01-01 | 26.5% | $51 | $21K | B | KXINXMINY-01….01 | ||
| ≤ 6,300 | 2027-01-01 | 27.0% | $534 | $35K | B | KXINXMINY-01….01 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxinxminy-01jan2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxinxminy-01jan2027.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxinxminy-01jan2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-P3C38JNNT7",
"slug": "kxinxminy-01jan2027",
"question": "S&P 500 minimum value, January 1, 2027",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"sp500-minimum",
"equity-markets",
"price-level",
"2027-resolution",
"market-volatility"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 146704,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}