S&P 500 maximum value, January 1, 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-08 (169D) ]
kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 10 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7199.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.8% | — | $451K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 7399.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $210K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 7599.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.5% | — | $231K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 7799.99 | 2027-01-08 | 53.1% | $1.5K | $120K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 7999.99 | 2027-01-08 | 44.1% | $899 | $89K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 8199.99 | 2027-01-08 | 18.3% | $87 | $15K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 8399.99 | 2027-01-08 | 10.0% | $0 | $6.2K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 8599.99 | 2027-01-08 | 5.4% | $39 | $2.6K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 8799.99 | 2027-01-08 | 6.4% | $0 | $917 | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 | ||
| 8999.99 | 2027-01-08 | 3.3% | $3 | $1.4K | B | KXINXMAXY-01….99 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | For example, Google Finance | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "For example, Google Finance" ↗ sources (1)
- For example, Google Finance venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7599.99 by Jan 1, 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-02 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxinxmaxy-01jan2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxinxmaxy-01jan2027 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxinxmaxy-01jan2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
"slug": "kxinxmaxy-01jan2027",
"question": "S&P 500 maximum value, January 1, 2027",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"sp500-max",
"equity-index",
"us-markets",
"price-target",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1127769,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": "For example, Google Finance",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "For example, Google Finance",
"url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}