Will Trump be impeached? [ resolves 2026-06 – 2028-01 ]
Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | 2026-06-01 | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | A | KXIMPEACH-26-JUN01 | ||
| Sep 1, 2026 | 2026-09-01 | 2.0% | $3 | $1.1K | A | KXIMPEACH-26-SEP01 | ||
| Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 4.4% | $17 | $57K | A | KXIMPEACH-27-JAN01 | ||
| Mar 1, 2027 | 2027-03-01 | 23.0% | $162 | $45K | A | KXIMPEACH-27-MAR01 | ||
| Jan 1, 2028 | 2028-01-01 | 60.0% | $1.9K | $509K | A | KXIMPEACH-28-JAN01 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The President must hold the office when an impeachment resolution passes against him or her .
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
- Library of Congress source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the President be impeached before Jun 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-01 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kximpeach/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kximpeach |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kximpeach") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZF8X9WHDV8",
"slug": "kximpeach",
"question": "Will Trump be impeached?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"impeachment",
"trump",
"2026",
"presidential-accountability"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 613198,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}