US housing starts, May 2026 [ resolves 2026-06-23 (20D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 1.38 | 2026-06-23 | 94.0% | $199 | $8.6K | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…375 | ||
| ≥ 1.4 | 2026-06-23 | 83.0% | $1 | $12K | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…400 | ||
| ≥ 1.43 | 2026-06-23 | 61.0% | $11 | $3.4K | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…425 | ||
| ≥ 1.45 | 2026-06-23 | 17.0% | $3 | $1.1K | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…450 | ||
| ≥ 1.48 | 2026-06-23 | 6.0% | $0 | $245 | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…475 | ||
| ≥ 1.5 | 2026-06-23 | 6.0% | — | $84 | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…500 | ||
| ≥ 1.52 | 2026-06-23 | 2.0% | — | $9 | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…525 | ||
| ≥ 1.55 | 2026-06-23 | 6.0% | — | $19 | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…550 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhousingstart-26jun16/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhousingstart-26jun16.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhousingstart-26jun16") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PS1K3XYR28",
"slug": "kxhousingstart-26jun16",
"question": "US housing starts, May 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-housing",
"economic-data",
"may-2026",
"construction-starts",
"quantitative-threshold"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 25258,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}