OH-10 House winner? [ resolved 2026-11-05 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for OH-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Democratic win the House race for OH-10? | kalshi | 2026-11-05 | 100% |
| NO | Will Republican win the House race for OH-10? | kalshi | 2026-11-05 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (2 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Republicans lead in OH-10 as buyers test the Democratic odds 30% · $15K 24h
- Kalshi prices the Democratic candidate at 30% in OH-10, market favors the Republican in this race.
- 24h volume of $14.7K is 55% of all-time total, meaning more than half of all trading landed in a single day.
- Fresh volume into a 30% contract signals active debate over whether Democrats can outperform in this district.
- Resolves on Ohio 10th District House race result.
- OH-10 House odds stay below 50% as fresh volume tests the line 30% · $14K 24h
- 30% price on Kalshi keeps Democrats as an underdog in OH-10, below the 50% line.
- $14,461 in 24h is 55% of all-time, more than half the contract's total lifetime volume in one session.
- Ohio-10 is a competitive suburban district; fresh volume just below 50% odds may signal a tightening race narrative.
- Resolves on 2026 OH-10 House general election.
- Republicans favored to hold OH-10 House seat 76% · $24K 24h
- Kalshi prices the Republican candidate at 76% in Ohio's 10th, a solid but not insurmountable advantage.
- $24K in 24h volume represents 33% of all-time handle, a notable single-session concentration.
- Fresh volume into a 76% favorite suggests a recent poll, fundraising report, or candidate event is reinforcing the price.
- Resolves on certified 2026 midterm results for Ohio's 10th congressional district.
- Republicans hold the lead in OH-10 House contest 66% · $20K 24h
- 66% prices Republicans as clear but not dominant favorites, meaningful residual risk remains.
- 33% of all-time volume arriving in 24h points to a specific catalyst drawing renewed attention.
- A two-thirds price in a competitive district suggests late money sees a durable but contested edge.
- Resolves on certified Ohio 10th congressional district House race result.
- Republican hold in OH-10 backed at 84% on rising volume 84% · $17K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Republican win in OH-10 at 84%, reflecting a solid but not guaranteed hold.
- 34% of all-time volume traded in 24 hours, meaningful single-session share for a mid-tier district market.
- The 16% residual Democratic chance keeps this seat on the contested watchlist entering the final stretch.
- Resolves on the OH-10 general election result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhouserace-oh10-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhouserace-oh10-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhouserace-oh10-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-TY2DWD9XJ0",
"slug": "kxhouserace-oh10-26",
"question": "OH-10 House winner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-race",
"ohio-politics",
"2027-election",
"congressional-district",
"electoral-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 17128,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}