Will the Florida 25th House seat be won in the next election? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (153D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for FL-25 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
recent wire items
- Buyers back Democrats in FL-25 at 71% 71% · $36K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Democratic win in FL-25 at 71%, a strong favorite read in this House race.
- $35.8K in 24h volume accounts for 63% of the contract's all-time volume, marking a decisive surge.
- Heavy fresh volume in a district race at this late stage implies new local polling or candidate news is driving attention.
- Resolves on the FL-25 House election result.
- Republicans slip to 21% odds in FL-25 House race 21% · $11K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Republican win in FL-25 at just 21%, a notably weak reading in a Florida district.
- 69% of all-time contract volume arrived in a single 24h window, signaling sudden market interest.
- FL-25 pricing implies Democrats are favored roughly 4-to-1; new candidate or polling data may have triggered attention.
- Resolves on certified 2026 midterm results for Florida's 25th Congressional District.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhouserace-fl25-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhouserace-fl25-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhouserace-fl25-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Q8F4815M66",
"slug": "kxhouserace-fl25-26",
"question": "Will the Florida 25th House seat be won in the next election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-elections",
"florida-politics",
"2026-midterm",
"election-outcome",
"swing-district"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7702,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}