CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

How high will CPI get this year? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 16 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 3% 2027-01-01 95.0%
$11K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.0
≥ 3.1% 2027-01-01 98.0%
$3.4K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.1
≥ 3.2% 2027-01-01 98.0%
$1.3K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.2
≥ 3.3% 2027-01-01 94.0%
$1.7K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.3
≥ 3.4% 2027-01-01 94.0%
$712
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.4
≥ 3.5% 2027-01-01 98.0%
$17K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.5
≥ 3.6% 2027-01-01 93.0%
$6.1K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.6
≥ 3.7% 2027-01-01 97.0%
$2.7K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.7
≥ 3.8% 2027-01-01 97.0%
$2.2K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.8
≥ 3.9% 2027-01-01 99.0%
$13K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…3.9
≥ 4% 2027-01-01 99.0%
$8 $19K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…4.0
≥ 4.1% 2027-01-01 86.0%
$2.9K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…4.1
≥ 4.2% 2027-01-01 93.0%
$2.3K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…4.2
≥ 4.3% 2027-01-01 71.0%
$532
A KXHIGHINFLAT…4.3
≥ 4.4% 2027-01-01 63.0%
$321 $3.3K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…4.4
≥ 4.5% 2027-01-01 64.0%
$5.0K
A KXHIGHINFLAT…4.5
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 16 markets · share this text
If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 3.0% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhighinflation-26dec/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhighinflation-26dec.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxhighinflation-26dec")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DJ55H2YG5",
  "slug": "kxhighinflation-26dec",
  "question": "How high will CPI get this year?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "inflation",
    "cpi-peak",
    "us-economy",
    "macro-indicator",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 16,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 92461,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 96,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →