Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before election day? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before election day?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

kalshi 3 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before…	2027-01-01	75.0%	$14	$101K	A	`KXHFHOUSING-27`
Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before…	2027-01-01	64.0%	—	$16	A	`KXHFHOUSING-…G26`
Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before…	2027-01-01	49.0%	—	$1	A	`KXHFHOUSING-…L26`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Library of Congress	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 3 markets · share this text

If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An example of such a bill is here. Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million). Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress"

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhfhousing-27/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhfhousing-27.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxhfhousing-27")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HH1QMWSWC1",
  "slug": "kxhfhousing-27",
  "question": "Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before election day?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "housing-policy",
    "institutional-investment",
    "us-legislation",
    "2026",
    "real-estate-regulation"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 101398,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →