Will a Wyoming Republican be nominated for Governor by the 2026 election? [ resolves 2026-08-31 (89D) ]

Will Megan Degenfelder be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 5 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Megan Degenfelder be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming	2026-08-31	76.0%	$38	$6.2K	A	`KXGOVWYNOMR-…DEG`
Will Eric Barlow be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming	2026-08-31	22.0%	$5	$1.1K	A	`KXGOVWYNOMR-…BAR`
Will Chuck Gray be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming	2026-08-31	2.8%	—	$29	A	`KXGOVWYNOMR-…GRA`
Will Brent Bien be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming	2026-08-31	2.7%	—	$77	A	`KXGOVWYNOMR-…BIE`
Will Harriet Hageman be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming	2026-08-31	0.1%	—	$2	A	`KXGOVWYNOMR-…HAG`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Republican Party	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 5 markets · share this text

If Brent Bien wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovwynomr-26/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovwynomr-26.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxgovwynomr-26")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
  "slug": "kxgovwynomr-26",
  "question": "Will a Wyoming Republican be nominated for Governor by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "wyoming-politics",
    "republican-nominee",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "2026-election",
    "primary-outcome"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 7430,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →