Will Bill Lee be the Tennessee Republican Governor nominee by 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-31 (39D) ]
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If John Rose wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Tennessee Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (1) · single authority
- Republican Party source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
- Blackburn locks up the Tennessee GOP governor nod 93% · $55K 24h
- 93% pricing reflects near-certainty in the prediction market that Blackburn wins the Republican gubernatorial nomination.
- $55K in 24h is 62% of all-time volume, the contract's heaviest session by share, suggesting a catalyst is in play.
- Heavy one-sided flow at a high price points to a recent development, filing deadline, poll, or endorsement, cementing her position.
- Resolves on the outcome of the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovtnnomr-2-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovtnnomr-2-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovtnnomr-2-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5MV6W6X5T7",
"slug": "kxgovtnnomr-2-26",
"question": "Will Bill Lee be the Tennessee Republican Governor nominee by 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"tennessee-governor",
"republican-nominee",
"2026-election",
"us-politics",
"primary-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 36069,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}