Will a New York Democratic Governor nominee be determined by the 2026 election? [ resolved 2026-06-22 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | $14 | $96K | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-KH | ||
| Ritchie Torres | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | $1 | $28 | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-RT | ||
| Alvin Bragg | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | $8 | $56 | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-AB | ||
| Andrew Cuomo | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | $29 | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-AC | ||
| Antonio Delgado | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | $1 | $42 | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-AD | ||
| Eric Gonzalez | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | $1 | $3 | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-EG | ||
| Letitia James | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | $1 | $9 | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-LJ | ||
| Tom Suozzi | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | $2 | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-TS | ||
| Jumaane Williams | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | $1 | $3 | C | KXGOVNYNOMD-25-JW |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Kathy Hochul wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New York Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (1)
- Republican Party venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Kathy Hochul be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| NO | Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
| NO | Will Alvin Bragg be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
| NO | Will Andrew Cuomo be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
| NO | Will Antonio Delgado be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
| NO | Will Eric Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
| NO | Will Letitia James be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
| NO | Will Tom Suozzi be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jumaane Williams be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (9 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovnynomd-25/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovnynomd-25 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovnynomd-25") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3PXX1L1ZK7",
"slug": "kxgovnynomd-25",
"question": "Will a New York Democratic Governor nominee be determined by the 2026 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"new-york-governor",
"democratic-nominee",
"2026-election",
"state-politics",
"electoral-process"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 96161,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 57,
"rcg_caps": [
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_none"
],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "no_source_stated",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}