Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? [ resolves 2026-08-31 (89D) ]
Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Begich · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 96.0% | — | $6.6K | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…BEG | ||
| Bernadette Wilson · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 73.0% | $37 | $2.9K | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…WIL | ||
| Click Bishop · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 42.0% | $490 | $2.7K | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…BIS | ||
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 40.0% | $98 | $4.0K | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…KRE | ||
| Matthew Claman · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 35.0% | — | $2.3K | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…CLA | ||
| Dave Bronson · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 32.0% | — | $3.0K | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…BRO | ||
| Bill Walker · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 32.0% | — | $643 | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…WAL | ||
| Treg Taylor · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 24.0% | $27 | $1.5K | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…TAY | ||
| Matt Heilala · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 16.0% | — | $236 | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…HEI | ||
| Shelley Hughes · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 8.2% | $70 | $176 | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…HUG | ||
| Adam Crum · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 5.0% | — | $140 | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…CRU | ||
| Edna DeVries · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 3.8% | — | $32 | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…DEV | ||
| Mary Peltola · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 1.9% | — | $49 | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…PEL | ||
| Nancy Dahlstrom · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 0.3% | — | $18 | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…DAH | ||
| Lisa Murkowski · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 0.2% | $1 | $4 | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…MUR | ||
| Lesil McGuire · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXGOVAKPRIMA…CMG |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Click Bishop advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovakprimary-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovakprimary-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovakprimary-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-D03FJ4YFW7",
"slug": "kxgovakprimary-26",
"question": "Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"alaska-governor",
"primary-election",
"2026",
"top-four-primary",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 24256,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}