GA-11 Republican nominee? [ resolved 2026-06-17 ]
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Brown | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $28 | C | KXGAPRIMARY-…BRO | ||
| Lisa Carlquist | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $2 | C | KXGAPRIMARY-…CAR | ||
| John Hobbs | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $1 | C | KXGAPRIMARY-…HOB | ||
| Uloma Ekpete Kama | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $2 | C | KXGAPRIMARY-…KAM | ||
| Chris Mora | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $2 | C | KXGAPRIMARY-…MOR | ||
| Tricia Pridemore | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $9 | C | KXGAPRIMARY-…PRI | ||
| John Cowan | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $153 | $16K | C | KXGAPRIMARY-…COW | ||
| Rob Adkerson | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | $62 | $10K | C | KXGAPRIMARY-…ADK |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Rob Adkerson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 GA-11 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
- Republican Party source of record venue-listed
- Democratic Party venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| YES | Will John Cowan be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| NO | Will Tricia Pridemore be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
| NO | Will Chris Mora be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
| NO | Will John Hobbs be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
| NO | Will Uloma Ekpete Kama be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
| NO | Will Lisa Carlquist be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
| NO | Will William Brown be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgaprimary-11r26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgaprimary-11r26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgaprimary-11r26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PVSZ03C2W4",
"slug": "kxgaprimary-11r26",
"question": "GA-11 Republican nominee?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"georgia-politics",
"2027-election",
"republican-primary",
"house-race",
"nominee-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 26334,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 80,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}