Will Sydney Gruters be the Republican nominee for FL-16? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Sydney Gruters be the Republican nominee for FL-16?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 14 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sydney Gruters be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 92.0% | — | $15K | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…GRU | ||
| Will Ed Pope be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 4.0% | — | $786 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…POP | ||
| Will John Peters be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $151 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…PET | ||
| Will Eddie Speir be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $186 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…SPE | ||
| Will Carlos Beruff be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $125 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…BER | ||
| Will Richard Corcoran be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $117 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…COR | ||
| Will Bill Galvano be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $147 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…GAL | ||
| Will Tommy Gregory be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $115 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…GRE | ||
| Will Martin Hyde be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $127 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…HYD | ||
| Will Fiona McFarland be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $123 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…MCF | ||
| Will Michael Owen be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $111 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…OWE | ||
| Will Mike Rahn be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $115 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…RAH | ||
| Will James Satcher be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $124 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…SAT | ||
| Will Will Robinson be the Republican nominee for FL-16 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $124 | A | KXFLPRIMARY-…ROB |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Sydney Gruters wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxflprimary-16r26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxflprimary-16r26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxflprimary-16r26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
"slug": "kxflprimary-16r26",
"question": "Will Sydney Gruters be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"florida-politics",
"2026-election",
"republican-nominee",
"us-house",
"electoral-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 14,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 17634,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}