Will FISA be reauthorized again? [ resolves 2026-06 – 2027-01 ]
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | 2026-06-01 | 1.0% | — | $3 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…N01 | ||
| Jun 11, 2026 | 2026-06-11 | 1.0% | — | $587 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…N11 | ||
| Jun 12, 2026 | 2026-06-12 | 1.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXFISAEXTEND…N12 | ||
| Jun 13, 2026 | 2026-06-13 | 1.0% | — | $1.6K | A | KXFISAEXTEND…N13 | ||
| Jun 14, 2026 | 2026-06-14 | 1.0% | — | $550 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…N14 | ||
| Jun 15, 2026 | 2026-06-15 | 1.0% | — | $510 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…N15 | ||
| Jun 19, 2026 | 2026-06-19 | 1.0% | — | $249 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…N19 | ||
| Jun 25, 2026 | 2026-06-25 | 1.0% | — | $278 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…N25 | ||
| Jul 1, 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 1.0% | — | $487 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…L01 | ||
| Jul 15, 2026 | 2026-07-15 | 1.0% | — | $51 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…L15 | ||
| Aug 1, 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 1.0% | $3 | $618 | A | KXFISAEXTEND…G01 | ||
| Aug 15, 2026 | 2026-08-15 | 5.0% | $176 | $1.8K | A | KXFISAEXTEND…G15 | ||
| Sep 1, 2026 | 2026-09-01 | 4.0% | $87 | $1.3K | A | KXFISAEXTEND…P01 | ||
| Oct 1, 2026 | 2026-10-01 | 58.0% | $1.4K | $8.5K | A | KXFISAEXTEND…T01 | ||
| Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 83.0% | — | $2.6K | A | KXFISAEXTEND…-27 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | White House | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "White House" sources (2) · single authority
- White House venue-listed
- Library of Congress source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-15 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jun 25, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-25 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jun 19, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-19 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jun 15, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jun 14, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-14 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jun 13, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jun 12, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-12 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jun 11, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-11 | 1% |
| NO | Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jun 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-01 | 1% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (10 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfisaextend-26may/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfisaextend-26may |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxfisaextend-26may") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-820Y1NX5J9",
"slug": "kxfisaextend-26may",
"question": "Will FISA be reauthorized again?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"fisa-reauthorization",
"us-surveillance-law",
"congress-legislation",
"section-702",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 20497,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "White House",
"resolution_source_url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "White House",
"url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://congress.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}