Will someone be nominated as a Federal Reserve Governor in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as member of the Board of Governors of… | 2027-01-01 | 27.0% | $110 | $18K | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…MIR | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as member of the Board of Governors of… | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $2.0K | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…HAS | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Michelle Bowman as member of the Board of Governors of… | 2027-01-01 | 9.9% | — | $205 | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…BOW | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Scott Bessent as member of the Board of Governors of… | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $76 | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…BES | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Lorie Logan as member of the Board of Governors of the… | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $12 | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…LOG | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Marc Sumerlin as member of the Board of Governors of… | 2027-01-01 | 5.0% | — | $51 | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…SUM | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as member of the Board of Governors of… | 2027-01-01 | 3.1% | — | $1.8K | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…SHE | ||
| Will Trump next nominate David Malpass as member of the Board of Governors of… | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $3 | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…MAL | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Christopher Waller as member of the Board of Governors… | 2027-01-01 | 2.6% | — | $1.1K | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…WAL | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Rick Rieder as member of the Board of Governors of the… | 2027-01-01 | 2.0% | — | $478 | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…RIE | ||
| Will Trump next nominate James Bullard as member of the Board of Governors of… | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $17 | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…BUL | ||
| Will Trump next nominate Philip Jefferson as member of the Board of Governors… | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXFEDGOVNOM-…JEF |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Kevin Hassett is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfedgovnom-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfedgovnom-27.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxfedgovnom-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
"slug": "kxfedgovnom-27",
"question": "Will someone be nominated as a Federal Reserve Governor in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"fed-governor",
"2026-nominations",
"us-politics",
"federal-reserve",
"appointment-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 23748,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}