Government employees cut, before March 2027 [ resolves 2027-03-04 (274D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 50,000 | 2027-03-04 | 91.0% | — | $2.7K | C | KXFEDEMPLOYE…000 | ||
| ≥ 100,000 | 2027-03-04 | 82.0% | — | $3.1K | C | KXFEDEMPLOYE…000 | ||
| ≥ 150,000 | 2027-03-04 | 45.0% | $2 | $1.7K | C | KXFEDEMPLOYE…000 | ||
| ≥ 200,000 | 2027-03-04 | 27.0% | $3 | $68 | C | KXFEDEMPLOYE…000 | ||
| ≥ 250,000 | 2027-03-04 | 11.0% | — | $3 | C | KXFEDEMPLOYE…000 | ||
| ≥ 300,000 | 2027-03-04 | 6.0% | — | $2 | C | KXFEDEMPLOYE…000 | ||
| ≥ 350,000 | 2027-03-04 | 9.0% | — | $6 | C | KXFEDEMPLOYE…000 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfedemployees-27feb/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfedemployees-27feb.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxfedemployees-27feb") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-RJ91PG43J7",
"slug": "kxfedemployees-27feb",
"question": "Government employees cut, before March 2027",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"trump-government",
"workforce-reduction",
"federal-employment",
"2026",
"policy-implementation"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7581,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}