FedEx average daily package volume, Q2 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-23 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 16 | 2026-06-23 | 100.0% | $10 | $508 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 | ||
| > 16.2 | 2026-06-23 | 100.0% | $4 | $570 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 | ||
| > 16.4 | 2026-06-23 | 100.0% | — | $481 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…998 | ||
| > 16.6 | 2026-06-23 | 100.0% | — | $305 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…002 | ||
| > 16.8 | 2026-06-23 | 100.0% | — | $506 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 | ||
| > 17 | 2026-06-23 | 100.0% | $11 | $897 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 | ||
| > 17.2 | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | $6 | $3.0K | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 | ||
| > 17.4 | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | $83 | $2.8K | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 | ||
| > 17.6 | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | $67 | $683 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 | ||
| > 17.8 | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | $14 | $185 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 | ||
| > 18 | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | $9 | $88 | C | KXFDX-26JUNA…0.0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If FedEx Corporation reports Above 16000000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
- Fiscal.ai source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 16 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 100% |
| YES | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 16.2 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 100% |
| YES | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 16.4 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 100% |
| YES | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 16.6 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 100% |
| YES | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 16.8 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 100% |
| YES | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 17 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 100% |
| NO | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 17.2 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 0% |
| NO | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 17.4 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 0% |
| NO | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 17.6 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 0% |
| NO | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 17.8 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 0% |
| NO | Will FedEx Corporation report Above 18 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-23 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (11 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfdx-26junadv/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfdx-26junadv |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxfdx-26junadv") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-RFBCDTRWW1",
"slug": "kxfdx-26junadv",
"question": "FedEx average daily package volume, Q2 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"fedex",
"logistics-operations",
"q4-2026",
"quarterly-earnings",
"package-volume"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 9982,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}