Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $2,000,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | $1 | $3.7K | B | KXFDVOPENSEA…999 | ||
| ≥ $5,000,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $2.2K | B | KXFDVOPENSEA…999 | ||
| ≥ $8,000,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 2.0% | $1 | $76 | B | KXFDVOPENSEA…999 | ||
| ≥ $10,000,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $121 | B | KXFDVOPENSEA…999 | ||
| ≥ $12,000,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $19 | B | KXFDVOPENSEA…999 | ||
| ≥ $15,000,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 4.0% | — | $240 | B | KXFDVOPENSEA…999 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CoinGecko | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 1999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.
The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last recorded FDV will be used and the market will resolve immediately. Token migrations to new smart contract addresses are tracked continuously. If CoinGecko changes its FDV calculation methodology, the value displayed at the measurement time under the FDV label will be used regardless. Post-redenomination FDV values (after splits/reverse splits) will be used. All values are in USD as shown on CoinGecko. Values can be expressed in millions (M), billions (B), or trillions (T) format.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CoinGecko" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfdvopensea-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfdvopensea-27jan01.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxfdvopensea-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1SRY28XC5",
"slug": "kxfdvopensea-27jan01",
"question": "Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"opensea",
"fdv-valuation",
"crypto-token-launch",
"post-launch-metrics",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6367,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CoinGecko",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.coingecko.com",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}