When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 6 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk…	2027-01-01	66.0%	—	$1.0K	A	`KXFDAANNOUNC…N01`
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk…	2027-01-01	47.0%	$415	$5.0K	A	`KXFDAANNOUNC…P01`
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk…	2027-01-01	45.0%	$1	$761	A	`KXFDAANNOUNC…V01`
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk…	2027-01-01	12.0%	—	$731	A	`KXFDAANNOUNC…L01`
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk…	2027-01-01	2.0%	—	$14	A	`KXFDAANNOUNC…R15`
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk…	2027-01-01	1.0%	—	$22	A	`KXFDAANNOUNC…Y01`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Food and Drug Administration	link	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 6 markets · share this text

If the FDA announces Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List before Apr 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion is satisfied by placement of BPC-157 in either Category 1 or Category 1 Bulk Drug Substances Under Evaluation on the 503A Bulk Drug Substances list, as either designation restores compounding eligibility. Removal from Category 2 alone, without placement in Category 1, does not satisfy the Payout Criterion.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Food and Drug Administration" ↗

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfdaannounce-bpc/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfdaannounce-bpc.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxfdaannounce-bpc")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1BNKFN8JX3",
  "slug": "kxfdaannounce-bpc",
  "question": "When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "fda-regulation",
    "drug-classification",
    "bpc-157",
    "bulk-drug-substances",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 7580,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Food and Drug Administration",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.fda.gov/news-events/fda-newsroom/press-announcements",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →