Ethereum maximum price, January 1, 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by strike

kalshi 8 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
≥ $3,500	2027-01-01	17.0%	$3.3K	$55K	A	`KXETHMAXY-27….00`
≥ $3,750	2027-01-01	14.0%	$242	$18K	A	`KXETHMAXY-27….00`
≥ $4,000	2027-01-01	12.0%	$191	$23K	A	`KXETHMAXY-27….00`
≥ $4,250	2027-01-01	12.0%	—	$14K	A	`KXETHMAXY-27….00`
≥ $4,500	2027-01-01	8.0%	—	$16K	A	`KXETHMAXY-27….00`
≥ $4,750	2027-01-01	7.0%	—	$14K	A	`KXETHMAXY-27….00`
≥ $5,000	2027-01-01	6.0%	$169	$15K	A	`KXETHMAXY-27….00`
≥ $6,000	2027-01-01	4.0%	—	$16K	A	`KXETHMAXY-27….00`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	CF Benchmarks	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 8 markets · share this text

If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes. The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks"

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxethmaxy-27jan01/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxethmaxy-27jan01.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxethmaxy-27jan01")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
  "slug": "kxethmaxy-27jan01",
  "question": "Ethereum maximum price, January 1, 2027",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "2027-resolution",
    "price-prediction",
    "blockchain-assets"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 8,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 173075,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →