Spain GDP growth rate year-over-year, Q1 2026 [ resolves 2026-07-02 (29D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 1.4% | 2026-07-02 | 99.0% | — | $2.1K | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…1.4 | ||
| ≥ 1.6% | 2026-07-02 | 99.0% | — | $1.9K | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…1.6 | ||
| ≥ 1.8% | 2026-07-02 | 99.0% | — | $1.6K | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…1.8 | ||
| ≥ 2% | 2026-07-02 | 96.0% | — | $2.9K | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…2.0 | ||
| ≥ 2.2% | 2026-07-02 | 98.0% | — | $3.4K | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…2.2 | ||
| ≥ 2.4% | 2026-07-02 | 92.0% | — | $5.9K | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…2.4 | ||
| ≥ 2.6% | 2026-07-02 | 75.0% | — | $10K | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…2.6 | ||
| ≥ 2.8% | 2026-07-02 | 3.0% | — | $83 | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…2.8 | ||
| ≥ 3% | 2026-07-02 | 2.0% | — | $55 | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…3.0 | ||
| ≥ 3.2% | 2026-07-02 | 2.0% | — | $62 | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…3.2 | ||
| ≥ 3.4% | 2026-07-02 | 1.0% | — | $4 | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…3.4 | ||
| ≥ 3.6% | 2026-07-02 | 1.0% | — | $18 | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…3.6 | ||
| ≥ 3.8% | 2026-07-02 | 1.0% | — | $18 | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…3.8 | ||
| ≥ 4% | 2026-07-02 | 1.0% | — | $20 | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…4.0 | ||
| ≥ 4.2% | 2026-07-02 | 1.0% | — | $18 | A | KXESGDPYOYF-…4.2 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Trading Economics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Trading Economics" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxesgdpyoyf-26jun25/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxesgdpyoyf-26jun25.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxesgdpyoyf-26jun25") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-X69Q9MZJJ5",
"slug": "kxesgdpyoyf-26jun25",
"question": "Spain GDP growth rate year-over-year, Q1 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"spain-economy",
"gdp-growth",
"quarterly-macro",
"2026",
"economic-data"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 28356,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Trading Economics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://tradingeconomics.com/spain/gdp-growth-annual",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}