How many Executive Orders will Trump sign during the week of August 2-8? [ resolved 2026-08-22 ]
Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Aug 2, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Federal Register | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the President signs above 0 executive orders during Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
An "Executive Order" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as "Executive Orders" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended.
The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was "Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025," and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Federal Register" sources (1) · single authority
Federal Register committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Aug 2, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Aug 2, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Aug 2, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-08 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxeoweek-26aug08/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxeoweek-26aug08 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxeoweek-26aug08") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PM72KQDBC1",
"slug": "kxeoweek-26aug08",
"question": "How many Executive Orders will Trump sign during the week of August 2-8?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-executive-orders",
"weekly-action-count",
"us-presidency",
"policy-implementation",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7264,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Federal Register",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Federal Register",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Federal Register",
"url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}