CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the core CPI month-over-month change in May 2026 be positive? [ resolves 2026-06-10 (7D) ]

CPI core month-over-month in May 2026?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 8 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026 2026-06-10 63.0%
$1 $11K
A KXECONSTATCP…0.2
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026 2026-06-10 46.0%
$3.8K
A KXECONSTATCP…0.1
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026 2026-06-10 26.0%
$9.5K
A KXECONSTATCP…0.3
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026 2026-06-10 10.0%
$3 $2.6K
A KXECONSTATCP…0.0
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026 2026-06-10 6.0%
$275
A KXECONSTATCP…0.4
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026 2026-06-10 3.0%
$8.7K
A KXECONSTATCP…0.1
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026 2026-06-10 1.0%
$524
A KXECONSTATCP…0.2
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026 2026-06-10 1.0%
$283
A KXECONSTATCP…0.5
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 8 markets · share this text
If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxeconstatcpicore-26may/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxeconstatcpicore-26may.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxeconstatcpicore-26may")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1RDJLJZL71",
  "slug": "kxeconstatcpicore-26may",
  "question": "Will the core CPI month-over-month change in May 2026 be positive?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "inflation",
    "core-cpi",
    "monthly-economic-data",
    "us-economy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 8,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 36830,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →