Will Democrats hold 51 or more Senate seats after the 2022 Midterm Elections? [ resolves 2027-02-01 (243D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 53 | 2027-02-01 | 76.0% | $773 | $13K | A | KXDSENATESEA…B53 | ||
| 53 | 2027-02-01 | 8.9% | — | $550 | A | KXDSENATESEA…E53 | ||
| 54 | 2027-02-01 | 6.5% | — | $251 | A | KXDSENATESEA…E54 | ||
| 55 | 2027-02-01 | 3.0% | — | $75 | A | KXDSENATESEA…E55 | ||
| 56 | 2027-02-01 | 4.9% | — | $28 | A | KXDSENATESEA…E56 | ||
| 57 | 2027-02-01 | 4.9% | — | $28 | A | KXDSENATESEA…E57 | ||
| ≥ 57 | 2027-02-01 | 3.4% | — | $96 | A | KXDSENATESEA…A57 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | United States Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "United States Congress" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
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AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxdsenateseatsh-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxdsenateseatsh-27.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxdsenateseatsh-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-86X2QHQCT9",
"slug": "kxdsenateseatsh-27",
"question": "Will Democrats hold 51 or more Senate seats after the 2022 Midterm Elections?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-senate",
"democrats",
"midterms",
"2026-election",
"seats-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14136,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "United States Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}